盛弘彩票
安徽皖能股份

煤價“旺季不旺”8月或將跌破600元/噸

發布日期:2018-08-14 瀏覽次數:2104

  

時間:[2018-08-13 ] 信息來源:中電新聞網
8月6日,國家統計局公布2018年7月下旬流通領域重要生產資料市場價格變動情況。數據顯示,7月下旬全國煤炭價格穩中有跌。以山西大混(5000大卡)和山西優混(5500大卡)為例,價格分別為551.4元/噸和565元/噸,或小幅下跌,或與上期持平。


  7月是“迎峰度夏”的傳統煤炭消費旺季,但是“旺季不旺”卻成為近期煤炭市場的主旋律。記者經梳理發現,本輪煤炭價格下跌始于6月上旬,雖然7月上旬一度小幅上漲,但隨后又重新開啟下跌模式。是何原因致使本輪煤價下跌?

  煤炭庫存居高不下日耗低于市場預期

  近期,全國受高溫天氣影響,居民防暑降溫用電需求上升,電廠日耗水平出現小幅增加。7月31日,沿海6大電廠日耗煤量為81.4萬噸,較月初增加3.3萬噸,增幅為4.2%;存煤可用天數為18.2天,與月初相比減少0.6天。

  雖然主要電廠的日耗有所增長,但較去年同期增幅并不明顯,也明顯遜于市場普遍預期。同時,7月份下游部分高耗能產業的錯峰生產降低了工業用電需求,致使沿海市場去庫存的節奏較為緩慢。數據顯示,7月31日,沿海6大電廠庫存合計1483.2萬噸,較月初增加14.1萬噸;8月1日,環渤海9大港口合計存煤2667萬噸。顯然,居高不下的庫存是近期旺季煤價下行的重要原因。

  與此同時,各水電大省近期降雨充足,水電替代效應明顯。以湖南、湖北地區為例,7月份降水量較大,水電出力明顯提高,7月初,三峽開始滿負荷發電,至今出庫流量依然維持在3萬立方米/秒的高位。多種因素的共同作用之下,消費需求的釋放并沒有推高旺季煤炭價格。

  供應與運力得到保障長協促價格穩定

  近兩個月來,在“保供應、穩煤價”政策引導下,山西、內蒙古等地煤炭先進產能加快釋放,煤炭產量增加。據工業和信息化部和中國煤炭工業協會統計,2018年1~6月,大型煤炭企業原煤產量完成12.7億噸,同比增加0.9億噸,上漲7.4%。

  運力方面,大秦線開足馬力加快發運,7月上中旬日均運量升至129萬噸。7月下旬,受鐵路間歇性限速和維修影響,進車降至日均124萬噸,跌幅較小,對供應影響不大。同時,朔黃線、蒙冀線也在擴能增量,全力多拉快運,使環渤海港口的運輸保持繁忙態勢。煤炭向港口和下游轉移的速度加快,使得沿海、沿江以及接卸港口庫存均處于高位。  

  另一方面,國內能源企業紛紛響應國家號召,與電力企業簽訂長協合同,對煤價起到了一定的穩定作用。如國家能源集團,就在7月中旬與國內重點電力企業簽訂了每年合同量接近3000萬噸的3年長協合同,在一定程度上減少了供需波動,實現了煤炭價格平穩。據業內人士透露,目前用戶大多對煤礦發運的長協煤炭保持剛性拉運,而對市場煤的需求較為低迷,只有零星采購,煤炭現貨市場交易冷清,價格難以提升。

  一位業內人士對記者表示,隨著立秋之后氣溫走低,用電量下降,8月煤價跌破600元/噸是大概率事件。但是到了下半月,在電廠存煤量下降、大秦線臨近秋季集中檢修、階段性存煤期來臨的情況下,電廠采購和派船拉運將有所恢復,煤炭市場或將出現復蘇。8月下旬市場煤價格能否企穩止跌,還應繼續觀望。

返回頂部
盛弘彩票

          <address id="tnxlp"><nobr id="tnxlp"><menuitem id="tnxlp"></menuitem></nobr></address>

            www.502892.com | www.495.gg | www.zfcp8.com | 23231381.com | 17765.com | www.341188.com | www.88807l.com | www.32031v.com | www.772701.com | 8381hh.com | www.44220151.com | www.yh66988.com | 11z66.com | www.ylg888888.com | www.115527u.com | www.356776.com | 2jshhh.com | www.0733fdc.net | www.7782o.com | 22117g.com | www.bet881.com | www.0601t.com | 2836518.com | www.js72999.com | www.6787758.com | 38820000.com | www.14086622.com | www.011888a.com | 53262uu.com | www.0333444.com | www.978951.com | 80850x.com | www.98888js.com | www.591032.com | 159666a.com | www.938f.cc | www.535059.com | zhcpqq.com | www.rgcp22.com | www.332807.com | www.vtm005.com | www.0014r.com | 99909n.com | www.777888yh.com | www.zch2.com | 500000579.com | www.26163u.com | 98955e.com | www.hg7766b.com | www.cp9829.com | 33hh8331.com | www.690510.com | 88995003.com | www.10052233.com | www.53537.cc | 40033aaa.com | www.6880pp.com | 4997x.com | www.333133r.com | www.611506.com | www.25673f.com | www.52303h.com | 3405vvv.com | www.00773z.com | 835.cc | www.4972hh.com | www.530126.com | www.58777f.com | www.103ak.com | 0229422.com | www.773570.com | 9994net0.com | www.1851134.com | 66773885.com | www.fbs33.com | www.83033e.com | www.pjbet777.com | www.399190.com | www.32126e.net | www.916730.com | 9964g.com | www.66332k.com | 3807b.com | www.e848.com | vns55545.com | www.ba306.com | 3640tt.com | www.78680l.com | yun888.com | www.97655z.com | 8569833.com | www.8887989.com | fuli1.com | www.5484b.com | 6220yy.com | www.2875i.com | www.555xhtd.com | www.50080o.com | www.550515.com | haianw.com | www.5860r.com | 06385757.com | www.kzcs4.com | 8030e.com | www.848777a.com | 4196u.com | www.3479p.com | www.365815n.com | 33115vv.com | www.918356c.com | 1463p.com | www.cn365s.com | spj01.net | www.55885l.com | www.js28123.com | www.202703.com | www.hg2631.com | 38989n.com | www.86267r.com | www.hg558.com | www.33588a.com | www.cn365a.com | 1806766.com | www.701546.com | www.3170002.com | 11989r.com | www.52062i.com | 2934r.com | www.461113.com | www.466698.com | 4022p.com | www.78949m.com | www.3435333.com | www.483770.com | www.4938w.com | 444000ooo.com | www.86339m.com | 7736q.com | www.279556.com | www.lzlylc.com | 518cp-0.com | www.15355e.com | www.3959j.com | 0193377.com | www.fcyl3.com | www.tyc878.com | 84494444.com | www.022613.com | www.361cp.cc | 00uu8332.com | www.171109.com | www.4078u.com | hg1338.com | www.024028.com | www.509236.com | www.333222d.com | bj399.com | www.77996d.com | www.kk8996.com | 25288v.com | www.90848a.com | www.www | www.zdj70.com | b82365com | www.hy5509.com | www.28249.com | nn500r.com | 20775511.com | www.78949y.com | www.ylg538.com | jing26.com | www.320662.com | www.742688.com | www.vns6985.com | 4288r.com | 1479p.com | www.88325q.com | www.bet888365.com | yuhe.in | www.599840.com | www.6687c.com | www.xin888999.com | 31325t.com | www.599380.com | www.7036ss.com | www.tyc55.com | l1915l.com | 866666r.com | www.50052s.com | www.4797.com | 2844x.com | 69990n.com | www.9cpb.com | www.20199pp.com | www.bmw0005.com | aaa8996.com | 5651r.com | www.js1992.com | www.0077jj.com | 6220y.com | 91019b.net | www.202909.com | www.7714s.com | www.5675858.com | am772.cc | www.234892.com | www.bet73q.com | www.288988b.com | www.3657a.com | bogou2222.com | 69448822.com | www.hf5886.com | www.vns55.me | www.18997.com | www.wn8090.com | 4255ss.com | 1591911.com | www.bxcp3333.com | www.vns44.me | www.sun3678.com | www.pj6698.com | 2127w.com | rf034.com | www.898953.com | www.vns44.me | www.2945b.com | www.jsgj9.com | 2222k04.com | 90307b.com | www.310787.com | www.3416r.com | www.087o.com | www.0661777.com | www.xpjvip07.com | a2306.com | 54146622.com | hkmh88.com | www.557595.com | www.js02349.com | www.xpj618.com | www.6882f.com | www.4972ww.com | js5651js.com | 54249955.com | am2982.com | 9649033.com | www.30xw.com | www.pj56f.com | www.58908a.com | www.98698l.com | www.66442.com | www.00618x.com | 15a39.net | zhcp29.com | 55572949.com | 01234i.com | 22205a.com | 01234yyy.com | www.375963.com | www.c2813.com | www.32123x.com | www.33678aa.com | www.0661777.com | www.www-85594.com | www.hg88996.com | www.21365vv.com | www.am8866.com | 6567.com | 80850zz.com | 8989883.com | 66648u.com | w9621.com | P35bb.com | www.jj0.net | www.565516.com | www.936150.com | www.qilc9.com | www.1368n.cc | www.5086s.com | www.00665h.com | www.789zr.cc | www.cn365p.com | www.255793.com | www.8967q.com | www.7779855.com | www.jjjj003.com | www.80js.com | www.93480.com | www.3000hm.net | www.99950020.com | www.87680f.com | www.hg5377.com | www.d276.com | www.09569o.com | www.25288r.com | www.xpj8898.com | www.882589.com | www.www-77000.com | www.hg755.com | www.xpj9t9.com | www.05125c.com | www.jing6444.com | www.222741.com | www.40789b.com | www.55526v.com | www.8499.com | www.biying940vip.com | www.33678ll.com | www.75600b.com | www.37377x.com | www.1434j.com | www.13434a.com | www.ihg5577.com | www.904028.com | www.1035h.com | www.865807.com | www.wcp8898.com | xbo198.com | 9193.am | 5350k.com | 222v22.com | 22299vv.com | 40033a.com | 5003bb.com | yy3189.com | www.pjshanghai.com | www.2257123.com | www.771671a.com | www.80969v.com | www.vnsr2345.com | www.5446r.com | www.xj445566.com | www.ji224.com | www.452809.com | 8827b.com | 6266123.net | 1634z.com | r45638.com | tyc1513.com | www.25288z.com | www.41hd.com | www.h83377.com | www.ya2019u.com | www.csgc1.com | www.161763.com | 36517.info | 3890p.com | 59889v.com | www.87680t.com | www.cc1916.com | www.91779u.com | www.yh68222.com | www.846689.com | www.183587.com | 77115156.com | 9955vn77.com | 33382r.com | 881381.com | www.ytvip98.com | www.4996km.com | www.81233c.com | www.547099.com | 32689.co | ee5002.com | www.4763333.vip | www.js403.com | www.4102a.com | www.33clf.com | 97297r.com | 8015f.com | 7989e.com | www.56520j.com | www.34388a.com | www.a458.com | www.ya044.com | 314474.com | 8037i.com | www.hg992255.com | www.50086.net | www.937004.com | www.530751.com | 55797.com | 7744xxx.com | www.1113hg.com | www.668cp77.com | www.113744.com | www.293255.com | 2146y.com | www.68666q.com | www.88993s.com | www.97828h.vip | www.541638.com |